USC vs. Arizona State odds, line, spread: 2023 Pac-12 Tournament picks, Mar. 9 predictions from proven model


A 2023 Pac-12 Tournament quarterfinal battle is on tap between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the USC Trojans at 11:30 p.m. ET Thursday at T-Mobile Arena. USC is 22-9 overall and went 14-6 in conference play, while ASU is 21-11 overall and went 11-9 in the Pac-12. USC has won each of the last seven meetings between the teams, including a 68-65 victory on Saturday.

The Trojans are favored by 4 points in the latest USC vs. Arizona State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 139. Before entering any Arizona State vs. USC picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week at 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on USC vs. Arizona State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Arizona State vs. USC:

  • USC vs. Arizona State spread: USC -4
  • USC vs. Arizona State over/under: 139 points
  • USC vs. Arizona State money line: USC -180, Arizona State +152
  • USC vs. Arizona State picks: See picks here

Featured Game | USC Trojans vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

What you need to know about USC

The Trojans knocked off the Sun Devils just five days ago by a 68-65 score in which Boogie Ellis led USC with 28 points. Tre White (13 points) was the only other Trojan in double-figures, but it was USC’s defense which came up huge. It limited Arizona State to just 29.2% from the field and 21.4% from 3-point range.

USC is among the best teams at defending the rim in the nation as it ranks fifth nationally with 5.3 blocks per game. Joshua Morgan leads the Pac-12 with 2.3 blocks per game, while Ellis paces the offense and ranks second in the conference with 18.1 points per game. Drew Peterson (14.1 points) is the only other USC player averaging more than 9.5 PPG, and Peterson led the Trojans with 19 points in a victory over ASU in January.

What you need to know about Arizona State

The Sun Devils are coming off a 63-57 victory over Oregon State in the first round of the Pac-12 Tournament on Wednesday. Warren Washington led the team with 15 points, while DJ Horne and Desmond Cambridge Jr. both chipped in with 13 points apiece.

Arizona State brings a balanced attack as all five starters average in between 9.3 points and 13.4 points per game. But the Sun Devils struggle from the perimeter, ranking last in the Pac-12 in 3-point percentage (31.3%). Scoring 70 points seems to be the threshold for the Sun Devils as they are 12-0 when scoring over 70 but just 8-11 when scoring 70 or fewer.

How to make Arizona State vs. USC picks

The model has simulated USC vs. Arizona State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arizona State vs. USC? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.  

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