NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket picks, Cinderella teams, upsets: Model simulates March Madness 10,000 times


The 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket will be the first in 40 years without Mike Krzyzewski or Roy Williams on the sidelines. There are still several veteran head coaches in the 2023 March Madness bracket, but there is not a clear 2023 NCAA Tournament favorite to cut down the nets. At least one top-four seed has lost in the first round in 13 of the last 14 tournaments, with No. 2 seed Kentucky falling to No. 15 seed Saint Peter’s last year. Which 2023 NCAA Tournament upsets should you target with your 2023 March Madness picks?

There has never been a run of three straight tournaments with a win by a No. 15 seed, though. Saint Peter’s advanced to the Elite Eight last year, while Oral Roberts made the Sweet 16 in 2021, so should you back any of the No. 15 seeds in the 2023 college basketball tournament bracket with your 2023 March Madness bracket picks? Before making any 2023 March Madness bracket predictions, be sure to check out the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire 2023 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times. It has absolutely crushed its March Madness picks, beating over 92% of all CBS Sports brackets two of the last four tournaments. The model also nailed three teams in the West and South Region Sweet 16 last year, including No. 5 seed Houston.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 18 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets two years ago, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor and hitting Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed.

There’s simply no reason to rely on luck when there’s proven technology to help you dominate your 2023 March Madness pools. Now, with the 2023 NCAA bracket being revealed, the model is simulating the matchups and its results are in. You can only see it over at SportsLine.

2023 March Madness bracket games to watch

One 2023 March Madness matchup to keep an eye on: Iowa vs. Auburn in the Midwest region. The Tigers struggled down the stretch, losing eight of their final 12 games before falling to Arkansas in the second round of the SEC Tournament. Iowa was not in strong form either, dropping four of its last six games, but it ranks third in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings.

Also in the Midwest Region, Miami (FL) vs. Drake figures to be yet another pivotal 5 vs. 12 matchup. Miami built on its Elite Eight run from last season by earning the No. 1 seed in the ACC Tournament. The Hurricanes have four players averaging at least 13 points per game, led by junior guard Isaiah Wong (15.9). Drake dominated Bradley in the Missouri Valley Tournament title game, returning to the NCAA Tournament for the second time in three years. The Bulldogs are paced by sophomore Tucker DeVries, who was named the Missouri Valley Conference Player of the Year after averaging 18.9 points per game. 

The third matchup to watch is also in the Midwest Regional, No. 7 seed Texas A&M against No. 10 seed Penn State. Both teams made it to their conference championship games, but ultimately fell short. The Nittany Lions take care of the ball, committing just 8.8 turnovers per game, the third-best mark in college basketball. The Aggies will try to make it difficult for Penn State’s offense to run efficiently, however, with Texas A&M allowing opponents to make just 40.0% of their field goals this season.  You can see how far all these teams go over at SportsLine

How to make 2023 NCAA bracket predictions

How far will those major programs go? And which Cinderella teams will make surprising runs through the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket? With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it is calling this year before locking in any NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament bracket 2023? And which March Madness underdogs will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which teams you can back with confidence, all from the model that’s nailed 18 upsets by double-digit seeds since its inception and beat over 92 percent of players two of the last four tournaments.

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