NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket: Computer simulation shares surprising upsets, March Madness picks, best sleepers


Over the last 30 years, no team has won more national championships than UConn’s four. Yet, the school isn’t considered a blue blood program on the same vein as Duke, Kansas, Kentucky or UCLA. The Huskies were unranked to start the year before finishing in the top 10 of the final AP Poll. They are a No. 4 seed in the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket and will face a familiar foe in the first round of March Madness 2023. The Huskies take on former Big East rival, Rick Pitino, and his No. 13 Iona Gaels.

UConn and Pitino have combined for 12 Final Fours and six championships, but this will be their first meeting in the NCAA Tournament. Which side advances, and who has a better chance for a deep NCAA Tournament 2023 run? Before you make your 2023 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire 2023 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times. It has absolutely crushed its March Madness picks, beating over 92% of all CBS Sports brackets two of the last four tournaments. The model also nailed three teams in the West and South Region Sweet 16 last year, including No. 5 seed Houston.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 18 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets two years ago, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor and hitting Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2023 March Madness bracket upset picks

One of the model’s top 2023 NCAA Tournament predictions: No. 9 seed FAU defeats No. 8 Memphis in a critical 8 vs. 9 matchup. FAU’s 31 victories are the most in the nation, and the Owls led the country in bench scoring. That was evident when three different Owl reserves had 20-point games during the season. FAU averages 78.8 points per game, while Memphis won three straight contests to close the season, topping 80 twice.

Another surprise out of the East: No. 4 seed Tennessee makes a Sweet 16 run despite losing point guard Zakai Zeigler (knee) for the year. The Vols have enough to overcome his absence due to their elite defense and unmatched size. With five rotation players standing 6-foot-8 or taller, Tennessee’s length powers the nation’s No. 2 defense in efficiency. With wins over 1-seeds Alabama and Kansas, a potential second-round matchup with Duke won’t scare Tennessee, which is projected to survive to another weekend. See which other 2023 March Madness matchups to target here.

How to make 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

Who wins every tournament-defining matchup? And which teams will make surprising runs through the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket? With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it’s calling this year before locking in any 2023 NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket? And which NCAA Tournament Cinderella teams will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which double-digit seeds you can back with confidence, all from the model that’s called 18 upsets by double-digit seeds.

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