NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket: Computer simulation releases surprising upsets, March Madness picks, sleepers


Gonzaga has managed to fly under the radar entering the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket, which means a bullseye isn’t necessarily on its back approaching March Madness 2023. Gonzaga never reached the top spot in the top 25 all season for the first time in five years and isn’t loaded with future NBA lottery picks like years prior. However, the team does have Drew Timme, and the two-time All-American is the top active scorer in NCAA Tournament play. Timme’s 204 points in the NCAA Tournament rank 91st all-time, but a deep run in the March Madness bracket run could have him knocking on the top five.

Can the No. 3 Zags advance in the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket instead of No. 1 Kansas or No. 2 UCLA? Before you make your 2023 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire 2023 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times. It has absolutely crushed its March Madness picks, beating over 92% of all CBS Sports brackets two of the last four tournaments. The model also nailed three teams in the West and South Region Sweet 16 last year, including No. 5 seed Houston.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 18 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets two years ago, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor and hitting Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2023 March Madness bracket upset picks

One of the model’s 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket upsets: No. 9 seed FAU defeats No. 8 Memphis in a critical 8 vs. 9 matchup. The Owls’ 31 wins are the most in all of Division I and the team has no glaring weaknesses, ranking in the top 40 nationally in offensive and defensive efficiency. They also have a matchup nightmare in 7-foot-1 center Vladislav Goldin, as Memphis doesn’t have a single player on its roster taller than 6-foot-9.

The Tigers lack the future NBA talent that they’ve had in years past and knock down just 6.1 threes per game, which ranks 60th out of 68 tourney teams.

Another surprise: No. 5 Duke fails to advance to the Sweet 16. The Blue Devils are talented but inexperienced, as only one of their top seven scorers has ever played an NCAA Tournament game. That inexperience also makes its way to the sidelines, as Duke no longer has a five-time NCAA champion head coach to rely on for in-game adjustments.

The Blue Devils knock down just 33.6% of three-point attempts, which doesn’t bode well against Tennessee’s No. 3 scoring defense in a potential second-round game. See which other 2023 March Madness matchups to target here.

How to make 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

Who wins every tournament-defining matchup? And which teams will make surprising runs through the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket? With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it’s calling this year before locking in any 2023 NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket? And which NCAA Tournament Cinderella teams will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which double-digit seeds you can back with confidence, all from the model that’s called 18 upsets by double-digit seeds.

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