Bracketology Bubble Watch: North Carolina has a chance for best win of the season in ACC Tournament



I think this is the best day of conference tournament action every year. Almost all of the bubble teams still alive in their conference tournaments are in action. In fact, most of the teams in the bracket will be playing Thursday. There is a lot at stake when it comes to selection and seeding. 

West Virginia played its way off the bubble Wednesday with a win over Texas Tech. The Mountaineers moved to 19-13 on the season and now get a shot at Kansas. I do not think a loss to the Jayhawks puts West Virginia in danger of missing the NCAA tournament.

Wisconsin was the only bubble team to lose on Wednesday. The Badgers lost to Ohio State to drop to 17-14 for the season. It has been a strange season for Wisconsin, but one that is not going to be good enough to get into the NCAA Tournament.

It’s wall-to-wall bubble action today, starting with a likely elimination game in the Big Ten. We will also see if North Carolina can get its second Quad 1 win of the season against the same team it beat for its first one.

NCAA Tournament locks

Locks based on résumé: 27 | Bids secured: 14 | At-large spots remaining: 4



Miami, Virginia, Duke

Big East


Marquette, UConn, Xavier, Creighton

Big Ten


IndianaPurdue, Michigan State, Iowa

Big 12


BaylorKansas, Texas, Kansas State, Iowa State



Arizona, UCLA



Alabama, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Missouri, Kentucky






Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s, San Diego State

On the cutline

Last Four In Record NET
Penn State 19-12 55
Mississippi State 20-11 46
Utah State 24-7 22
Michigan 17-14 54
First Four Out Record NET
Oklahoma State 18-14 41
North Carolina 20-12 44
Arizona State 21-11 65
Rutgers 18-13 43
Next Four Out Record NET
Clemson 22-9 61
Oregon 18-13 47
Vanderbilt 18-13 82
Wisconsin 17-14 81

Check out all the teams on Palm’s Bubble Watch, the field of the 68 and the entire bracket on the Bracketology hub  

Thursday’s ‘double bubble’ games

Michigan vs. Rutgers

12 p.m. | Big Ten Network, fuboTV (Try for free)

Arizona State vs. USC

11:30 p.m. | ESPN, fuboTV (Try for free)  

Bubble teams in action Thursday

All references to NCAA Tournament selection records and trends refer only to tournaments going back to 1994 with the exception of 2021. Due to shortened schedules and a relatively small number of nonconference games in 2021, those rankings were not reliable enough to be considered.

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