Bracketology Bubble Watch: Clemson, Vanderbilt need big conference tournament wins to overcome bad losses


Getty Images

One thing people tend to forget as conference tournaments progress and bubble teams get knocked out is that the NCAA Tournament selection committee still has to take 68 teams. After every bubble team loses its final game, people will say that team is out — but they can’t all be out.  

Of course, some will be out. Here are a few that are probably not going to make it after losses on Thursday: 

  • Michigan, which is 17-15 after getting bounced by Rutgers in the Big Ten Tournament.
  • North Carolina, which is 1-9 vs Quad 1 opposition with only two wins over teams likely to make the field, both at home.
  • Oklahoma State, which is 18-15 overall and 13-15 vs. the top three quadrants (including a Quad 3 loss).

It was not all bad news for bubble teams. For example, Penn State beat Illinois for a third time this season, and now the Nittany Lions should hear their name called on selection Sunday.

Outside of the bubble, Kansas picked up its 16th Quad 1 win of the season over West Virginia and has moved up to the overall No. 1 seed in the projected bracket. That position is unassailable. Alabama, Houston and Purdue round out the top line of the bracket for now. The Cougars and Boilermakers take the court for the first time in their respective conference tournaments on Friday.

NCAA Tournament locks

Locks based on résumé: 28 | Automatic bids secured: 14 of 32 | At-large spots up-for-grabs: 8



Miami, Virginia, Duke

Big East


Marquette, UConn, Xavier, Creighton

Big Ten


IndianaPurdue, Michigan State, Iowa, Northwestern

Big 12


BaylorKansas, Texas, Kansas State, Iowa State, TCU



Arizona, UCLA



Alabama, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Missouri, Kentucky






Saint Mary’s, San Diego State

On the cutline

Last Four In Record NET
Mississippi State 21-11 46
Utah State 25-7 22
Nevada 22-10 36
Rutgers 19-13 43
First Four Out Record NET
Arizona State 22-11 65
Oklahoma State 18-15 41
North Carolina 20-13 44
Clemson 23-9 61
Next Four Out Record NET
Oregon 19-13 47
Vanderbilt 19-13 82
Wisconsin 17-14 81
Michigan 17-15 54

Check out all the teams on Palm’s Bubble Watch, the field of the 68 and the entire bracket on the Bracketology hub    

Friday’s “Double Bubble” Game

Utah State vs. Boise State

12 a.m. | CBS Sports network (Channel finder | | CBS Sports App)   

Bubble teams in action Friday

All references to NCAA Tournament selection records and trends refer only to tournaments going back to 1994 with the exception of 2021. Due to shortened schedules and a relatively small number of nonconference games in 2021, those rankings were not reliable enough to be considered.

Source link


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here