Arizona State vs. Nevada prediction, odds, line, time: 2023 First Four picks, best bets from proven model


A date to play TCU in the Big Dance will be on the line when two No. 11 seeds — the Arizona State Sun Devils and Nevada Wolf Pack — square off in a 2023 First Four matchup on Wednesday at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio. The Sun Devils (22-9) tied for fifth in the Pac-12 standings. They reached the semifinals of the Pac-12 Tournament before losing to rival Arizona. Meanwhile the Wolf Pack (22-10) finished fourth in the Mountain West Conference. They were knocked out in the quarterfinals of the MWC Tournament. 

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. The Sun Devils are favored by 2 points in the latest Arizona State vs. Nevada odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 133.5. Before making any Nevada vs. Arizona State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA Tournament 79-53 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,300 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arizona State vs. Nevada in the First Four 2023. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Nevada vs. Arizona State:

  • Arizona State vs. Nevada spread: Sun Devils -2
  • Arizona State vs. Nevada over/under: 133.5 points
  • Arizona State vs. Nevada money line: Sun Devils -135, Wolf Pack +115
  • ASU: The Sun Devils rank 15th in the nation in field goal percentage defense (39.8).
  • NEV: The Wolf Pack rank fourth in the country in free throw percentage (79.1).
  • Arizona State vs. Nevada picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Arizona State can cover 

Arizona State is one of the top defensive teams in the country. According to, the Sun Devils give up just 95.2 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 28th in the country. They also allow opponents to shoot just 39.8% from the field, which is 15th in the nation.

In addition, Arizona State has a two-way playmaker in fifth year senior Desmond Cambridge Jr. A 6-foot-4 guard, Cambridge leads the team in both scoring (13.7 points per game) and steals (1.8). For his efforts this season he was named to the all-Pac-12 second team.

Why Nevada can cover

Nevada is one of the best free throw shooting teams in Div. I. The Wolf Pack shoot 79.1% from the line, which ranks fourth in the country. They also make 17.2 free throws per game, which is ninth. That bodes well against an Arizona State team that commits 18.5 fouls per game, which ranks 294th in the nation.

In addition, Nevada faces a Sun Devils team that doesn’t shoot the ball particularly well. Arizona State shoots just 41.3% from the field, which is 317th in the country. The team also makes just 31.4% of its 3-point attempts, which is 312nd in Div. I.

How to make Nevada vs. Arizona State picks

The model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 137 points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arizona State vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.

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