2023 NCAA Tournament odds, March Madness picks: This Final Four college basketball parlay pays 12-1


Three newcomers will grace the 2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four stage while a four-time champion rounds out the field. The 9-seed Florida Atlantic Owls will take on the No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs in the first game on Saturday, with both teams making their Final Four debuts. San Diego State is a 2-point favorite in the latest 2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four odds, with the over/under at 131. The nightcap features No. 4 UConn, which has cut down the nets four times in program history, taking on 5-seed Miami, which notched its first Elite Eight win last week after being eliminated in that round a year ago. The Huskies are 5.5-point favorites, per Caesars Sportsbook, and the total is 149.5.

Which sides should you lean towards with your 2023 March Madness Final Four picks against the spread, and who will advance to the championship game? Before locking in any Final Four 2023 picks or college basketball parlays, be sure to check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the Final Four of the 2023 NCAA Tournament 85-54 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also went 6-1 on top-rated picks during the first two weeks of March Madness. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has crunched the numbers for Saturday’s NCAA Tournament Final Four 2023, revealing against-the-spread and over-under picks for both games. A successful parlay of these picks would pay a colossal 12-1. You can only see its 2023 NCAA Tournament picks at SportsLine

Top 2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four predictions, March Madness picks

The model is backing Under 149.5 total points in Miami vs. UConn. While the Over has been favorable for both teams on their own home courts, this matchup will be at a neutral site in Houston. When away from home, both programs have heavily sided with the Under, which is hitting in 60% of all games for UConn and 62% of all games for Miami.

Connecticut’s style of play often dictates its games and the Huskies have one of the slowest paces in all of college basketball, ranking 204th nationally. That’s been apparent since the calendar flipped to March, as six of the team’s last eight games have hit the Under. Meanwhile, Miami has stifled its opponents since the start of the NCAA Tournament 2023, allowing just 42% from the field and 32% from beyond the arc across four games.

That all projects to a lower-scoring game than what Vegas believes, and the model has the teams combining for 149 points, thus giving value to the Under. Get the rest of the parlay here.

How to make 2023 March Madness Final Four picks, parlays

The model also locked in spread and total picks for both games, and it has an underdog winning outright and covering nearly 60% of the time. Head to SportsLine to see its NCAA Tournament 2023 picks

Which college basketball picks should you target in a 12-1 parlay for Saturday’s Final Four games? And which team covers in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see the top 2023 NCAA Tournament parlay for the Final Four, all from the model that has generated a profit of over $1,700 on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread.

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